Condos in New York City with Real Estate Trends

Even Amidst Heavy Declines, New Residential Construction Marches On

madison square garden new york midtown westIn a city that thrives on the mantra, “Go big or go home,” nowhere is this as apparent as the development of new construction in Manhattan. The biggest critic of the Manhattan real estate development is, not surprisingly, none other than the business itself. In an industry where the indicators of success each fiscal year is judged by how much taller, more extravagent and expensive this year’s projects are compared to the last, 2011 has been criticized as a less-than-stellar year for new construction. Both DNAinfo.com and The Real Deal recently reported that “new constructions in New York City saw a 31 percent decline last year.” Never one to be easily alarmed or fazed by popular headlines, the New Construction Manhattan Blog decides to take a second look at the data and offers a second opinion on the current affairs.

W Tower Attracting Attention with Fully-Furnished Condos

W New York Downtown Tower in Manhattan's Financial DistrictIf you didn’t know better, you would probably swear that the condos available at the W New York Downtown Tower are already occupied. Designer furniture, wide-screen HDTVs, Warhol Prints, mid-century antiques, animal-skin throw rugs: The luxury condos at the W Tower feature detailed furnishings that make them feel like homes in the fullest sense of the word. The idea of a turnkey apartment is fairly commonplace for luxury rentals, but the W Tower - located at 123 Washington Street a block away from the One World Trade Center construction site in the Financial District - is taking the idea of fully-furnished condos to a whole new level. This innovation is yet another sign of the times; developers need a marketing edge more than ever. The people keeping Manhattan’s sluggish condo sales market afloat are usually either wealthy internationals looking for a pied-a-terre or buyers looking to become one-off landlords by renting their Manhattan properties, and the turnkey condos at W Tower cater specifically to both these groups. So far it seems to be working. After losing buyers in droves after the financial collapse in 2008, this new marketing technique is stimulating sales at W Tower for the first time in years.

Four Trends the Experts Predict Manhattan Will See in 2012

Earlier this month we wrote about how the Real Deal asked a group of real estate experts how they thought the luxury Manhattan condo market would play out in 2012. AM New York has written a similar story that analyzes what various real insiders are banking on in the new year. Some of the predictions from the two articles overlap, but AM New York also found some interesting new ideas, that could be meaningful to New Yorkers looking for luxury condos in Manhattan. We’ve compiled an overview of what exactly the experts say you should look for in the real estate market in 2012.

Condo Boards More Demanding Than Ever

Getting a luxury condo in Manhattan is getting more challengingJudging by the amount of qualified buyers turned away by condo boards in 2011, it might be time to stop thinking of them as less stringent than their co-op counterparts. When it comes to purchasing a luxury apartment, the two are increasingly similar, and the experience of buyers and brokers last year attests to that. More people were turned down than ever, although not in the way that you might think; condo boards don't really reject people, they just use stall-tactics until buyers give up. Condo boards do this because the only way they can formally reject buyers is to buy the condo themselves - not exactly the most desirable option - so much to the consternation of well-qualified buyers, run-around tactics have emerged as the next best thing. While some of these tactics border on the absurd, savvy buyers of Manhattan luxury condos should come prepared to meet all the potential hurdles, no matter how unnecessary they may seem. In order to be prepared, here is an outline of the standards of many condo boards have changed.

Attracting Foreign Buyers in the Middle of the Eurozone Crisis

WThe uncertainty surrounding the eurozone threatens to further hurt the Manhattan luxury real estate marketait-and-see. For many foreign buyers whose fortunes hinge on the outcome of the European debt crisis - even those who aren’t from Europe - these words neatly sum up their attitude towards the future. This potentially disastrous impasse threatens to slow sales of luxury condos in Manhattan even further, but who can blame people for waiting? The fate of the world’s economy is up in the air. In case you’re wondering why this is immediately relevant for us, look at the numbers: foreign buyers made up one-third of sales in Manhattan over the past year, and from March 2010 - 2011 8% of home sales nationwide came from foreign buyers. In other words, foreign buyers have been keeping the Manhattan luxury condo market afloat, so this wait-and-see attitude could prove to be devastating; the market is already bogged down in a sales slump. However, new legislation introduced in the U.S. Senate might stimulate sales of luxury condos in Manhattan to unprecedented heights, if it passes. And that’s a big if.

In Manhattan, Luxury Condos and Luxury Rentals Blend Together

A rental apartment in Silver Towers that was originally designed to be a condoWhat’s the difference between a luxury condo and luxury rental in Manhattan? These days, barely anything. The average size of a 1-bedroom luxury rental in Manhattan is 600-675 square feet, while the average size of a 1-bedroom luxury condo in Manhattan is 700-800 square feet. The units in 8 Spruce Street in FiDi and Silver Towers in Midtown West are newly constructed luxury rentals that are indistinguishable from newly constructed luxury condos and subsequently attract wealthy buyers who would’ve only considered condos before; Silver Towers in particular was originally going to be a luxury condominium. This trend is no accident; the uncertain economy has made developers antsy about the future, leading them to adopt the strategy of designing luxury buildings in Manhattan that could convert easily from rentals to condos or vice versa. Consequently, these newly constructed luxury buildings have made the distinction between the two thinner than ever.

Autumn Real Estate Sales are Fading Fast

EvLuxury real estate in Manhattan just isn't selling in Autumn anymoreen though, traditionally, autumn has been a strong season for sales of luxury condos and real estate in Manhattan, sales these days have been harder to come by. This decline has put brokers and real estate pros in a bind, because many buyers and sellers are waiting until the spring to make their moves. Over the past few years, New Yorkers have turned their attention towards spring in lieu of buying or selling Manhattan luxury real estate during the fall. According to Streeteasy.com, Manhattan October sales have declined from 868 in 2009 to 371 in 2011. This precipitous drop may not be as bad as it as sounds - this isn’t a long-established pattern - but as of right now it appears that a slow autumn season may become the norm, as the market shifts from autumn to spring. But is there a benefit to this slowdown for Manhattan buyers?

Revival of the Harlem Condo Market in Full Swing

When Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in the fall of 2008, perhaps no neighborhood was more greatly affected than Harlem. The ill-timed flurry of construction in Harlem that preceded Lehman’s collapse left about a dozen new developments stranded, so to speak. In other words,  those new luxury condominiums either on the market or about to be on the market at that time suddenly had no buyers and a bleak future. So, almost overnight, the new construction revival in Harlem created a glut of luxury condos that no one wanted to live in. This unfortunate turn of events had defined Harlem real estate for the past few years, but it looks like the damage wrought by those events has finally abated: in the third quarter of this year 150 condos sold in Harlem, marking the fifth quarter in a row where condo sales in Harlem exceeded 100 units. Despite the odds, sales of new luxury condos now exceed pre-Lehman levels. Granted, this is due to greatly reduced inventory and an extreme shortage of quality inventory elsewhere in Manhattan, but this recovery is still impressive, and it spells good news the Manhattan luxury real estate market as a whole.

The Lessons of Manhattan Real Estate History

Wall Street created a crisis in the Manhattan real estate market in 1929Easy credit, rapid development, rising values, rising demand, resales aplenty: does this sound familiar? The Manhattan real estate boom of 2007 and 2008 for luxury sales exhibited all of these characteristics in spades, but this was nothing new for Manhattan. During the roaring 20’s, the exact same boom took place, although everyone knows how that scenario played out. The stock market collapsed, the real estate market followed suit, and property prices (when measured by square foot) declined for a decade. While the parallels are undeniable, very few people are willing to draw them, and for good reason - the real estate market depends heavily on consumer confidence. Nonetheless, the similarities between now and then far outweigh the differences.

Manhattan Developers Relying on Condo Conversions

The inner courtyard of the Apthorp, a high-end converted condoWith a dearth of new construction, developers in Manhattan have shifted their tactics. 2011 has been the year of the condo conversion, and this wave of conversions seems likely to continue as long as financing for large projects remains difficult. In lieu of working with banks to loan them the large amounts of money required for new condo construction, developers are electing to simply convert rental buildings or office spaces instead. So far the tactic is working, although this strategy is heavily dependent upon the continuation of a healthy New York real estate market. If global financial insecurity or the recent woes of Wall Street begin to turn the current seller’s market into a buyer’s market, these converted condos might prove to be unwise investments.

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